时间          美国CPI                     美国非农就业                        美联储表态

              同比涨幅                    新增人数                                

              （%）                       （万人）                                

2023年9月     3.7                         33.6                                准备在适当的情况下

                                                                              进一步提高利率

2023年10月    3.2                         15.0                                通胀水平能否朝着目标

                                                                              持续下降还有待观察

2023年11月    3.1                         19.9                                如需要，美联储将进一步加息，

                                                                              以实现2%的通胀目标

2023年12月    3.4                         21.6                                美联储将继续监测

                                                                              即将发布的信息对经济前景的影响

2024年1月     3.1                         35.3                                今年降息是合适的，

                                                                              但3月不太可能降息

2024年2月     3.2                         27.5                                在对通胀持续向2%迈进更有信心之前，

                                                                              降低利率并不合适

2024年3月     3.5                         30.3                                尚未在出炉的各项数据中

                                                                              获得可以开始降息的信心

　　资料来源/美联储、美国劳工部官网，券商研报 制表/周璐璐